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Temperamental. Quiet, shy and humble. Honest And loyal. Variable Z (highlighted in red) will represent the variable whose inclusion in the regression is to be decided, with control standing for bias reduction, control standing for bias increase and “netral control” when the addition of Z does not increase nor reduce bias. For this last case, we will also make a brief remark about how Z could affect the precision of the ACE estimate. 1, 2 and 3 Good ControlsIn model 1, Z stands for a common cause of both X and Y.

Your cheap holiday in Sabah can also be spent with the well known highly skilled artisans of the land below the wind. The ethnic group known as the Kadazandusun is famous for their beadworks and intricate cloth weaving. Their fine workmanship is evident in their handicrafts and tourists from all over the world come to Sabah just to get their hands on these items.

We always share any feedback received from the clients with the tradesmen directly, helping them to improve theircustomer interactionsas well as their actual trade.In a recent article by Murray Goldstein from Cox Business, he suggests the followingsimple ways to improve customer service:Maintain consistency in customer interactions. A 2013 report from the Harvard Business Review suggests that minimizing the number of touch points or different contacts involved in a single customer’s interaction with the company improves satisfaction and loyalty, as fewer transitions between customer service providers allow fewer chances for error. Further, the study asserts, each touchpoint in the customer chain must be held accountable for the ending result of the customer’s entire interaction.Simplify and clarify support text on your website or forgo it altogether.

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It pretty much the only thing that been on my mind the last week. It sucks.I really need to talk (write) about it just get it out. So, sorry everyone, but this is going to be an extremely personal post.When I started college last Fall, I was a Theater major.

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It seems like there is the assumption that Stan Lee did this deliberately. I am in disagreement of this. If you can, could you please comment on this? Your knowledge is appreciated. Wifi is terrible and only worked in a corner of our room. Again, different rooms might be better. But would only go All Inclusive!.

Looking to identify a city that wants to get involved as a partner, he said. We also looking for contributions from corporations, the public and high net worth individuals to help grow the non profit. Said Calgary does not yet have a well developed tech ecosystem, and companies that are working in the technology space often have difficulty finding the skilled talent they need to grow and scale their businesses.

By the time dessert arrives (a hung cheesecake with caramelised coconut and crunchy candied walnuts), I ready to pop.As I walk to my room the vast inky sky is glittering with thousands of pinprick stars. My sheets have been turned down, slippers are by my bed and a tight herbal tisane tea bag is next to the kettle. A small woven basket on my bed catches my eye.

20. The FALCON contract is up for renewal Nov. 27 and is currently worth $42 million.Palantir did not immediately respond to the Daily Cal’s request for comment regarding the letter.This is not the first time Palantir has come under fire this year for its ties to ICE.

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And up until today, I did everything I could to make it better. I tried every single day to make her laugh, to make her smile, to defend her from everything bad I could sense. I would very much die for her. In early April I was traveling to Vancouver to meet with Lisa Barrett, mayor of Bowen Island. Martin’s Liberal Party government was embroiled in a corruption scandal. The opposition insisted he no longer had enough support to govern, which threatened a government crisis.

They are available in a wide range of sizes just to make sure you get that which fits you. Your comfort is well catered for inside out as far as Isabel Marant Sneakers are concerned. The sneakers are well lined on the inside with quality material to ensure your warmth and comfort hence you can wear them when it is cold.

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Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates TM campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates TM electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local level and national level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party TMs district level list..

One can make a case (and we have) that this paradigm, exactly, is repeating itself. It may be true that an Internet false flag event is being planned by Western elites. War on a false enemy may be declared as a result and laws passed to restrict the Internet and block the alternative media all in an attempt to stop truth telling.

The two types of outdoor net systems are called portable and in ground. The portable net system can be used by players of all levels. This includes the players from the competitive and the recreational levels. Dangling precariously from one arm, Jameson still didn stir. Little darling. I really love Safiya Nygaard but lately i feel like she has less energy in her videos and i not saying that it bad but i just hope that with the wedding and the many video that she uploads she not overworking herself.

Drivers and passengers on today’s roads will have noticed the growing popularity of personalised number plates on peoples cars. Personalised number plates are no longer a luxury for the elite with thousands of cheap number plates now on the market. As with any car registration, personalised number plates are all different, combining letters and numbers to make a number plate that is totally unique.

Princess Daisy first appeared in the Gameboy game Super Mario Land. She was kidnapped by a mysterious alien named Tatanga and of course Mario has to come to the rescue. No appearances are made by Luigi, Bowser, or Princess Peach in Super Mario Land.

Fast emerging mobile edge computing, mobile clouds, Internet of Things (IoT) and cyber physical systems require many novel realistic real time multi layer algorithms for a wide range of domains, such as intelligent content provision and processing, smart transport, smart manufacturing systems and mobile end user applications. This paper proposes a low cost open source platform, MODiToNeS, which uses commodity hardware to support prototyping and testing of fully distributed multi layer complex algorithms over real world (or pseudo real) traces. MODiToNeS platform is generic and comprises multiple interfaces that allow real time topology and mobility control, deployment and analysis of different self organised and self adaptive routing algorithms, real time content processing, and real time environment sensing with predictive analytics.

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We just barely had a common language. And yet I managed to develop such a strong connection with them, with one or two in particular. On some level I felt closer to them than to many of my friends with a similar background to me. With money and staff already pouring into dozens of state legislative districts around country, the Democrats’ 2020 focus will serve as perhaps the biggest test yet for various left leaning groups that formed after Trump’s election. House of Representatives last year, but now believe winning statehouses is the best way to advance an agenda that includes gun control, expanding access to health care, and protecting abortion and voting rights. It was GOP state legislators, they say, who devised many of the conservative policies that Trump later adopted as president..

The other thing that no one has mentioned is a flash. At a party, a wedding, a family gathering, whatever), then having an external speedlite so you can bounce the flash off the ceiling is an absolute must. There’s simply no comparison between pictures taken with a bounce flash, and your typical party pictures taken with a straight on flash (like a point and shoot camera, or a dSLR with its pop up flash)..

When a client sends youan official letter as well as a R1,000 voucher for your own personal use as a token of thanks for a job well done, you know that you completely surpassedtheir expectations.Skilled cabinetmaker Shamieg Rayban recently completed a contract at Western Province Golf Union Royal Capeoffices to the value of over R80,000. As we mentioned in a previous post, they were delighted, and so were we. Then Shamieg received the following letter as well as a voucher that he used to buy himself a tablet for his business, increasing his productivity and enabling him to communicate even more effectively with his clients.By doing a contract to the best of his ability, pulling out all the stops to ensure that the customerwas completely satisfied and offering the brilliant client service that has impressed us from the first day we met Shamieg, he has been handsomely rewarded, not just in terms of theactual gift and letter but by the acknowledgement of his calibre and professionalism.To say that Shamieg is over the moon is an understatement.

22nd January 2015Quote: “I couldn’t practice anywhere. My wife and kids just banned it. I would play and then the door would fly open. These brands are available in stores that adhere to the highest standards in ambience, appearance, technology, staff and services, and display. No wonder GKB won the ‘Most Admired Retailer’ (2013 14) in Lifestyle Accessories division by IRF, and India’s Most Trusted Brand Award under India’s Best Eyewear Store Category in 2015. It has an interactive, which is said to be India’s largest online eyewear store, whose web applications like Virtual Try on and Face Shape Guide help customers choose from over 4,000 sunglasses and eyewear..

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In 2012, after Disney acquired Lucasfilm the maker of Star Wars it decided to end in house video game development that had gone on for two decades at LucasArts, founded by George Lucas himself. Less than a year later, it signed a decade long partnership with gaming behemoth Electronic Arts popularly known as EA to make big budget Star Wars games. On paper, this was exciting.

It was one kind of gamble and the thirst for gold which drove the white man increasingly westward, and which led in time to the exploration of the Canyon; and it is the same gambling spirit which compels one to Las Vegas. Visitors seem almost naturally to gravitate from one spot to the other, from one kind of fullness to another, from one kind of excess (or waste, as some would have it) to another. It is Western man dread of emptiness, that dreadful hate of and celebration of productivity, that demonic desire to impregnate emptiness, which led to the making of Las Vegas.

This MVP felt like a reward to James Harden for missing out on the award from the season before because he didn average a triple double. He averaged a league high 30.4 points per game that season, fueling his efficiency with his commitment to Moreyball. He became the first player to ever average 10 free throws and 10 three point attempts in a single year..

In this paper we present, for the first time, imaging of live cells using sub optical wavelength phonons. The axial imaging resolution of our system is determined by the acoustic wavelength (a = probe/2n) and not on the NA of the optics allowing sub optical wavelength acoustic sectioning of samples using the time of flight. The transverse resolution is currently limited to the optical spot size.

Open to the idea of lifting the ban, Heinrich told the Journal. Just think it needs to be in the context of looking at what our energy policy ought to be into the future. By itself, I would have a hard time supporting that, but (could support a repeal) if it were paired up with, for example, some of the renewable tax credits that have been so important to the growth we seen in the renewables economy.

Ideas that are the best and true, need the least contortionist acts to defend. They seem to stand on their own, no tactics needed.Anyway, what a wonderful community of people are here on HubPages. I have met some really great people, and have learned and grown so much from them and been challenged to keep on growing.

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The need for residential real estate property is relying on instructional opportunities that is, the type of colleges in close proximity to a home will impact that house’s cost. Educational institutions for any organize in close up closeness can be a plus, nevertheless the issue and standing of the schools may also be elements. Schools that parents adore will improve a close by house’s benefit over universities that mother and father take into account stressed..

But truth will come out, sooner or later, you have the grace to recognise when you’ve been wrong. You’re an idealist a traveler, and can help to fire up others with the quest to explore know. (Gene Tierney) / (Isabella Rossellini). Not recommend for PPT or business presentation. A projection distance about 2M is the recommended viewing distance.LOWER NOISE: Upgraded cooling system prevents overheating itself for a longer and better performance and reducing fan noise, to give you a more immersive, authentically reproduced audio experience.3 YEAR WARRANTY (100% MONEY BACK GUARANTEE): We offer our customers a 3 year 100% Money Back Guarantee and professional customer service technical support. Please feel free to contact us if you have any problems.

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She persists in looking forward, watching as heavy drops pour down from a darkened sky. In fact, its so dark that when he awoke, Keanu thought that it was still dawn, until he caught a glimpse of the alarm clock on his nightstand. It actually just past nine am..

San Francisco ravers are typically white middle class youths between the ages of 18 and 30, often college students, and are usually interested in alternative culture (Brown par. 4). Amongst rave scenes, San Francisco is known for its psychedelic, New Age y, idealistic ethos.

Multiple feedback cycles enabled robust analysis and factual accuracy. A review of relevant customs law, procedures and literature gives the necessary context. Findings show that senior customs managers are involved in three interdependent areas of activity: logistics support, supply chain management and regulatory compliance.

“This campaign was inspired by the idea that in the box, Pocky is a thin biscuit stick dipped in chocolate. But the moment you share it with someone, it becomes something more. An expression of friendship. While it not a Hanukkah market per se, people in attendance will be able to do plenty of Hanukkah shopping, so forget Black Friday sales. The recipes are dairy, which would work well for Hanukkah get togethers where latkehs are served with sour cream. Is there any other way to eat latkehs?.

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It should be placed directly in front of you, about an arm’s length away. Glare guards or a plasma screen can help reduce eye strain. To prevent vision problems, a computer screen should be at a 90 degree angle to a window, not in front of or next to it..

4. Tax hedge fund gamblers. For starters, we need an immediate repeal of the preposterous and indefensible carried interest tax break, which allows hedge fund titans like Stevie Cohen and John Paulson to pay taxes of only 15 percent on their billions in gambling income, while ordinary Americans pay twice that for teaching kids and putting out fires.

Step It Up With A Just A Bit Of ColorFor The Man That Tend To Appreciate The Classics Men, an easy way to step out of your comfort zone is actually with color. Start off by perhaps adding a trendy winter colored cardigan or vest to your wardrobe or maybe just a shirt or a vivid new scarf. Just a little bit of color can lend an updated look to your otherwise classic look..

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Because the company offered him the option to resign, I suspect his former employer doesn intend to volunteer information to reference seekers beyond resigned. If he can verify that with his former HR department, then it up to him whether he divulges or omits his social media misstep in interviews. For example, he could say he wanted to go somewhere specifically offering [a feature the prospective company offers]..

“It’s upbeat, but I introduce it with a short verbal context, like I do for each of my songs where the storytelling spills over into music,” she says. “I talk about ‘Dreidel Song”s dark underpinnings in that the Torah was outlawed at that time. To be learning Torah was punishable by death and so the Jewish children would hide in caves to do their studies, and if they saw soldiers coming, they’d play with their dreidels..

If you are on a short term stay, buy the Traveler’s SIM card. With Traveler’s SIM card, it will cost you RM0.36 per minute/per video call/per SMS/per MMS to all networks for domestic rates. Wi Fi plan is at RM2 for day to day usage (500MB) or RM8 for weekly usage (2GB).

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Fit. Mandie muttered as she adjusted the cakes around the fridge so that the two of them would hopefully be able to fit properly without just ruining the entire thing. She could hear the commotion coming from upstairs, their house absolutely filled with family, teammates, and little children that had come over to celebrate Griffin and Grace sixth birthday, and Mandie could only hope that Tate was keeping things semi stable up there as she did the grunt work down here.

My camera is in the car and I’m tempted to get it, take Jan’s picture sitting here on the deck of the Bluewater Grill. A snapshot in time like those hanging on the walls inside. Glass of wine in hand, black sweater draped over her bare shoulders, a slight sunburn on her cheeks and forehead, the sun going down behind her..

The working title for right now is Dyke 101. Taking the form joke instruction manual/list on how to be a lesbian. I be looking for 2d art, poetry, photos, (short) comics, writing, basically anything that can go in a digital zine. I your age now. An eye is either corrected for near vision, or it is corrected for far vision, which means that both eyes will not be able to acheive focus at the same distances; basically, only one will provide sharp focus for near objects, and the other for far objects. I was so glad to get rid of the glasses, and it would be wonderful to avoid them in the future.

The team was also able to determine the sky positions for another 15 bursts.Science Behind GRBsThe most widely accepted model for long duration GRBs is the collapsar model (also called the hypernova model). Extremely massive stars can burn the material in their core very rapidly to form elements up to iron. After this fusion energy cannot be produced and the star collapses, a black hole is formed, and the matter outside swirls into the core in the form of an accretion disk.

His medical team believe he developed bronchiolitis obliterans, an inflammation of the thin walled, tiny airways called bronchioles that go to the furthest parts of the lung. Normally the tubes are filled with air, and air appears black on a CT scan. But when they become inflamed, the airways become impacted with inflammatory cells that appear white on a CT scan.

We’re sort of nesting, but we’ve had to buy everything (bed, kitchen, fridge, dining table, washing machine) so we ran out of our salary and we’re paying our expenses with my savings. This is a relief, but it also fills me with anguish. I’m grateful I was able to save quite enough for years, but I hate how now this amount is always decreasing.

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Last summer, ORH sponsored a forum on the topic that was attended by more than 100 hospital leaders and paramedics from Wisconsin, including representatives from the Reedsburg Area Medical Center and Reedsburg Area Ambulance Service. The two organizations recently launched a community paramedicine program that sends EMTs to check on patients in their homes. Hope is to help the hospital reduce re admissions, but to also help people stay at home and follow their doctor orders so they continue to be healthy, says Joshua Kowalke, director of the ambulance service..

The director weaves his way in and out of Calcutta crowds, the metro, the trams, the railway platforms. The festivities of Durga Puja are juxtaposed with the grim determination with which Avinash single mindedly remains in pursuit of Lakhan Yadav. Durga watches over the fate of Ishu, one can be sure.

But after coming off the sedatives, Ms Ryan said the symptoms disappeared. Human Rights Watch is calling on the federal government to ban the use of chemical restraints on older Australians with dementia. In HRW report released Wednesday, families of aged care residents describe the horrible side effects suffered by their loved ones with dementia placed on chemical restraints.

We present here a proof of principle experiment implementing wave search algorithms and directed wave transport in a graphene lattice arrangement. The idea is based on bringing localized search states into resonance with an extended lattice state in an energy region of low spectral density “namely, at or near the Dirac point. Furthermore, we investigate the scaling behavior experimentally using linear chains..

Gender critical radical feminists did not just wake up one day to believe transgender people do not and should not exist. They evolved as a reaction to the oppression of women and homophobia against lesbians. These radical feminists believe that focusing on gender threatens cisgender women and girls by allowing “men” into women’s spaces and they believe that only a strictly biological definition of sex, not gender, protects the forward progress of cisgender women and girls.

Still, it a remarkable showing on Amazon part. So much so that Amazon has taken the unusual step of actually providing some numbers around how much people bought. Though it still declines to talk sales dollars, as per usual, it did say that Prime members worldwide purchased over 100 million products, with small and medium sized businesses on Amazon exceeding $1 billion in sales this year..

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(I was like), ‘Damn, I’m getting the chills, man. Am I coming down with the flu?’ It kind of went away but I started coughing up mucus. The st I was coughing up was damn near the colour of some good a weed, maybe some spinach or something it was that green..

Bingo a beginning to the fabric on the far finish of the nascent mall. It tied to keep away from fading and deterioration of fabric the design aspect of the Louisiana story. Maier did splurge on motion pictures she preferred to critique them and make a constructive getting decision.

And Remazeilles, M. And Renault, C. And Renzi, A. Sony Level, the sequel to2017 surprise hit Welcome to the Jungle, a big weekend with an estimated $60 million debut in North America.The film, which stars Dwayne Rock Johnson and Kevin Hart, nearly doubled the opening of to the Jungle, which would eventually go on to makenearly $1 billiontwo years ago. Industry experts had predicted that Level would make around $45 million while Sony was more conservative with its forecasts at $35 million.2019 was not a kind year to sequels. Phoenix, In Black International, King of the Monsters, Dark Fate and Sleep were all disappointments at the box office.

They scream their lungs out when, while trying to reach out with the spirit box, loud footsteps echo down the hall and a shadowy figure appears in the doorframe. You boys turn that goddamn thing off? It 3am. Don you have jobs to go to in the morning? is our you dare say this is your job.

People that aren serious endurance runners never understand. I don know why. Probably to much weight between their brains and their feet to get them running. The limited collection of shoes I brought to school is really starting to bug me. Mostly because I have one pair of respectable heels I wear out and at 5 inches, they aren exactly practical for back to back to back weekend duty (or Boston cobblestones, as I learned last weekend). I also slacking in sandals and I left my rainboots at home.

Faux Fur Is All The Rage !This season you can wear fur without all the guilt! Think fabulous faux fur, all done up in fab colors. You will find faux fur on lots of fashions this Fall. But, when it comes to coats, faux fur is back in a big way. Frank has gotten permission to write a memoir about his life and he realizes he needs an editor. So he invites his younger brother Simon, who is at a New York publishing house whose life has been really thrown into upheaval because of what his brother did to help. Simon comes to Moscow to help his brother write this book and nothing goes as one might expect.